Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helsingborg vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Olympia, Helsingborg
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Sub
Bergqvist D. In: Andersson H.
Out: Bergqvist D.
15' Event
Antonsson M.
Assist: Ohlsson S.
30' Event
Claesson V.
Assist: Andersson H.

AI Match Summary

Varnamo in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varnamo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Helsingborg
30%
Draws
47%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varnamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Helsingborg lately — more wins on the board than Varnamo.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Helsingborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varnamo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 10%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingborg Varnamo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Superettan
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
1:2
Jun 16, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:1
Feb 25, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
0:1
Sep 5, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Helsingborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjellnas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Varnamo Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonsson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Claesson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingborg 34 / 100
Varnamo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingborg Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Helsingborg found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Helsingborg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Helsingborg VS Varnamo
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Helsingborg

(Home)
20 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 0
Norrby
14 Sept
Ostersund
1 : 0
Helsingborg
09 Sept
Landskrona
1 : 2
Helsingborg
05 Sept
Helsingborg
0 : 2
Sandviken
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
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Varnamo

(Away)
19 Sept
Oddevold
1 : 2
Varnamo
15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3
Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4
Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)