Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helsingborg vs Varnamo

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Olympia, Helsingborg
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helsingborg host Varnamo in the Superettan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Helsingborg have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Varnamo's 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Varnamo slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.31) point toward Helsingborg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Helsingborg
6%
Draws
4%
Varnamo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Helsingborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Helsingborg lately — more wins on the board than Varnamo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Helsingborg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varnamo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Helsingborg Clean Sheet 18%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingborg Varnamo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:1
Feb 25, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
0:1
Sep 5, 2022 Allsvenskan
Varnamo vs Helsingborg
3:2
May 21, 2022 Allsvenskan
Helsingborg vs Varnamo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingborg 85 / 100
Varnamo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingborg Varnamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Helsingborg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Varnamo conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Helsingborg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Helsingborg VS Varnamo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Helsingborg

(Home)
21 Jul
Falkenberg
2 : 3
Helsingborg
14 Jul
AB Copenhagen
2 : 0
Helsingborg
28 Jun
Sandviken
4 : 2
Helsingborg
21 Jun
Helsingborg
5 : 2
Sundsvall
16 Jun
Varnamo
0 : 1
Helsingborg
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Varnamo

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
19 Jul
Varnamo
2 : 3
Ljungskile
13 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 2
Naestved IF
28 Jun
Landskrona
1 : 0
Varnamo
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)