Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Helsingor vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Fri, Sep 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Helsingor host Holbaek in the 3rd Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Holbaek have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Helsingor have conceded 1.54 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Helsingor slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.69 - 2.06) back Holbaek to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Helsingor
15%
Draws
57%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Holbaek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Holbaek are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Helsingor Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Helsingor Holbaek
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.54 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Holbaek vs Helsingor
0:0
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Helsingor vs Holbaek
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Holbaek vs Helsingor
1:2
Sep 6, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Helsingor vs Holbaek
5:0
Jun 3, 2015 2nd Division East
Helsingor vs Holbaek
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Helsingor 14 / 100
Holbaek 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Helsingor Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Helsingor scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Holbaek let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Helsingor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Helsingor VS Holbaek
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Helsingor

(Home)
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
04 Sept
Bronshoj
2 : 1
Helsingor
28 Aug
Helsingor
1 : 0
Ishoj IF
25 Aug
Helsingor
2 : 5
Horsholm-Usserod
22 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 1
Helsingor
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Holbaek

(Away)
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
15 Aug
Holbaek
2 : 1
Sundby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 7 5 1 1 18:10 16
2 Vanlose 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
3 Bronshoj 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 ASA Aarhus 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
5 Holstebro 7 4 1 2 15:13 13
6 Helsingor 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
7 Naesby 7 3 1 3 13:12 10
8 BK Frem 7 2 2 3 14:12 8
9 Horsholm-Usserod 7 2 2 3 15:15 8
10 Sundby 7 1 1 5 9:15 4
11 Ringsted 7 1 1 5 8:18 4
12 Ishoj IF 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)