Sport Picks
Hemel Hempstead vs Farnham
England
National League South Focus Community Arena, Hemel Hempstead 
Match Events
36'
36'
Mackenzie M.
45'
45'
Steele J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
35%
48%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Farnham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Farnham have won more games recently than Hemel Hempstead.
- Win probability leans Farnham's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 17%
Farnham Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hemel Hempstead | Farnham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Farnham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hemel Hempstead Compare
Top Goalscorer Steele J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Farnham Compare
Top Goalscorer Mackenzie M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hemel Hempstead 28 / 100
Farnham 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hemel Hempstead Farnham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Farnham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hemel Hempstead found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Farnham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Hemel Hempstead has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Hemel Hempstead VS Farnham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hemel Hempstead
(Home) 19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Wingate & Finchley
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Tonbridge
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3 Weston-super-Mare
18 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
0 : 1 Maidenhead
Page 1 of 3
Farnham
(Away) 19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2 Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2 Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0 Torquay
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Farnham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2 Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2 Farnham
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1 Farnham
29 Aug
Horsham FC
1 : 2 Farnham
18 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 1 Farnham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
