Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Match Events

81'

Elliott J.

84'

Meekums R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hemel Hempstead host Horsham FC in the FA Trophy 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Hemel Hempstead have averaged 1.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Horsham FC's 1.25 scored and 1.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Horsham FC slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.13) back Hemel Hempstead to edge this. Hemel Hempstead in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Hemel Hempstead

39%

Draws

31%

Horsham FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Hemel Hempstead has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Horsham FC.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
Cup tournament structure in FA Trophy 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 68%

Horsham FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hemel Hempstead	Horsham FC
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	9
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National League South

Horsham FC vs Hemel Hempstead

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy

Hemel Hempstead vs Horsham FC

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Nov 22, 2025 National League South

Hemel Hempstead vs Horsham FC

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hemel Hempstead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Horsham FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Elliott J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Meekums R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemel Hempstead 41 / 100

Horsham FC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hemel Hempstead Horsham FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hemel Hempstead scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Horsham FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hemel Hempstead went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Horsham FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hemel Hempstead VS Horsham FC

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Sudbury2

Leiston1

TBD-

Hereford-

Radcliffe-

TBD-

Bradford PA2

Morpeth1

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Spennymoor-

TBD-

AFC Fylde-

TBD-

Eastleigh-

TBD-

Aldershot-

Buxton-

TBD-

Southport-

Leek Town3

Bromsgrove0

TBD-

Scarborough Athletic-

Dover Ath.-

TBD-

Basingstoke1

Dorchester2

Brentwood3

Welling0

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Chesham-

TBD-

Telford-

TBD-

Altrincham-

Yeovil-

TBD-

Torquay-

TBD-

Maidstone-

Alvechurch1

Worcester0

Real Bedford3

Ashford United2

Redditch1

Gainsborough2

Alfreton-

TBD-

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Oxford City-

TBD-

Peterborough Sports-

Chester-

TBD-

Clitheroe4

Stockton2

TBD-

York City-

Leatherhead2

Canvey Island1

TBD-

Hampton & Richmond-

King’s Lynn-

TBD-

Stanway Rovers1

Harrow Borough2

Hemel Hempstead-

TBD-

Chelmsford-

Horsham FC-

TBD-

Farnham3

Bishops Cleeve2

Wimborne1

Portchester0

Waltham Abbey0

Chatham2

Plymouth Parkway2

Poole Town1

TBD-

Salisbury-

Harborough4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds1

TBD-

Enfield Town-

TBD-

Carlisle-

Dorking Wanderers-

TBD-

Eastbourne Borough-

Bath City-

TBD-

Bracknell Town1

Banbury0

Southend-

TBD-

Truro-

Halifax-

TBD-

United of Manchester1

Bamber Bridge0

TBD-

Darlington FC-

Hartlepool-

TBD-

Bedford-

TBD-

Anstey Nomads4

Stratford0

Chorley-

TBD-

Worksop-

Kidderminster-

TBD-

Spalding United0

Corby1

Gateshead-

TBD-

Morecambe-

Ebbsfleet-

TBD-

Sittingbourne2

Cray Valley1

TBD-

Braintree-

Forest Green-

TBD-

Chippenham Town-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Billericay0

Stortford5

Wingate & Finchley0

Cheshunt1

Dagenham & Red.-

TBD-

Tilbury1

Hadley0

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

St. Albans0

Hanwell Town2

Tamworth-

TBD-

Boston United-

Leamington-

TBD-

Maidenhead-

TBD-

Rochdale-

Ilkeston3

St Ives Town1

TBD-

Curzon Ashton-

Marine-

TBD-

Hyde0

Stocksbridge3

Slough Town-

TBD-

Gloucester City1

Havant & Waterlooville0

Tonbridge-

TBD-

Worthing FC-

Walton & Hersham5

Hendon1

TBD-

Farnborough-

TBD-

Sutton-

Boreham Wood-

TBD-

Brackley-

Woking-

TBD-

Burgess Hill1

Folkestone4

TBD-

AFC Totton-

South Shields-

TBD-

Dunston1

Hebburn Town0

Macclesfield-

TBD-

Prescot Cables2

Guiseley1

1/64-finals

Sudbury1

Hereford5

Radcliffe3

Bradford PA2

Solihull Moors-

TBD-

Spennymoor2

AFC Fylde3

Eastleigh-

TBD-

Aldershot-

Buxton2

Southport3

Leek Town1

Scarborough Athletic0

Dover Ath.2

Dorchester0

Brentwood0

Hornchurch1

Chesham1

Telford2

TBD-

Altrincham-

Yeovil-

TBD-

Torquay0

Maidstone2

Alvechurch2

Real Bedford1

Gainsborough1

Alfreton2

Scunthorpe-

TBD-

Oxford City1

Peterborough Sports2

Chester0

Clitheroe1

TBD-

York City-

Leatherhead2

Hampton & Richmond0

King’s Lynn2

Harrow Borough3

Hemel Hempstead1

Chelmsford0

Horsham FC2

Farnham0

Wimborne0

Chatham1

Plymouth Parkway4

Salisbury3

Harborough3

Enfield Town0

TBD-

Carlisle-

Dorking Wanderers3

Eastbourne Borough2

Bath City2

Bracknell Town1

Southend-

TBD-

Truro-

Halifax-

TBD-

United of Manchester3

Darlington FC2

Hartlepool-

TBD-

Bedford0

Anstey Nomads1

Chorley2

Worksop3

Kidderminster3

Corby0

Gateshead-

TBD-

Morecambe-

Ebbsfleet2

Sittingbourne1

TBD-

Braintree-

Forest Green-

TBD-

Chippenham Town0

Weston-super-Mare1

Wealdstone-

TBD-

Stortford1

Cheshunt2

Dagenham & Red.2

Tilbury0

Merthyr Town2

Hanwell Town3

Tamworth-

TBD-

Boston United-

Leamington2

Maidenhead0

TBD-

Rochdale-

Ilkeston0

Curzon Ashton1

Marine2

Stocksbridge0

Slough Town1

Gloucester City2

Tonbridge0

Worthing FC4

Walton & Hersham2

Farnborough1

TBD-

Sutton-

Boreham Wood-

TBD-

Brackley-

Woking-

TBD-

Folkestone1

AFC Totton2

South Shields6

Dunston2

Macclesfield1

Prescot Cables0

1/32-finals

Hereford2

Radcliffe1

Solihull Moors2

AFC Fylde3

Eastleigh2

Aldershot1

Southport3

Leek Town1

Dover Ath.1

Hornchurch4

Telford4

Altrincham3

Yeovil2

Maidstone1

Alvechurch3

Alfreton2

Scunthorpe5

Peterborough Sports0

Clitheroe2

York City1

Leatherhead3

Harrow Borough2

Hemel Hempstead0

Horsham FC2

Chatham3

Plymouth Parkway0

Harborough1

Carlisle2

Dorking Wanderers1

Bath City2

Southend4

Truro0

Halifax4

United of Manchester0

Hartlepool1

Anstey Nomads2

Worksop0

Kidderminster1

Gateshead0

Morecambe3

Ebbsfleet3

Braintree1

Forest Green4

Weston-super-Mare0

Wealdstone2

Cheshunt1

Dagenham & Red.3

Hanwell Town1

Tamworth2

Boston United1

Leamington0

Rochdale1

Curzon Ashton1

Marine2

Gloucester City4

Worthing FC3

Walton & Hersham4

Sutton1

Boreham Wood3

Brackley4

Woking2

AFC Totton0

South Shields0

Macclesfield1

1/16-finals

Hereford2

AFC Fylde3

Eastleigh0

Southport2

Hornchurch1

Telford2

Yeovil1

Alvechurch0

Scunthorpe3

Clitheroe1

Leatherhead2

Horsham FC3

Chatham1

Carlisle0

Bath City1

Southend3

Halifax4

Anstey Nomads0

Kidderminster6

Morecambe2

Ebbsfleet0

Forest Green2

Wealdstone1

Dagenham & Red.0

Tamworth2

Rochdale1

Marine2

Gloucester City1

Walton & Hersham1

Brackley0

Woking2

Macclesfield1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde0

Southport1

Telford0

Yeovil2

Scunthorpe1

Horsham FC2

Chatham0

Southend1

Halifax1

Kidderminster2

Forest Green0

Wealdstone3

Tamworth0

Marine1

Walton & Hersham1

Woking2

Quarter-finals

Southport2

Yeovil1

Horsham FC1

Southend2

Kidderminster1

Wealdstone2

Marine1

Woking0

Semi-finals

Southport1

Southend3

Wealdstone1

Marine0

Final

Southend1

Wealdstone0