Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hemel Hempstead vs Stortford

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Hemel Hempstead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hemel Hempstead
30%
Draws
47%
Stortford
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stortford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hemel Hempstead come out ahead of Stortford on wins alone.
  • Hemel Hempstead are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Hemel Hempstead have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hemel Hempstead, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 20%
Stortford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemel Hempstead Stortford
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Hemel Hempstead vs Stortford
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Hemel Hempstead vs Stortford
0:1
Dec 17, 2016 National League South
Stortford vs Hemel Hempstead
0:4
Sep 3, 2016 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Stortford
3:2
Feb 2, 2016 National League South
Stortford vs Hemel Hempstead
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemel Hempstead 36 / 100
Stortford 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemel Hempstead Stortford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Hemel Hempstead scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Stortford has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Hemel Hempstead has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hemel Hempstead VS Stortford
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemel Hempstead

(Home)
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 6

Stortford

(Away)
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1
Leamington
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
31 Aug
Stortford
2 : 0
Hitchin
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0
Stortford
22 Aug
Stortford
0 : 3
Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Warrington Town 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Silsden 2
Bootle 4
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Racing Club Warwick 2
Evesham 5
Bromsgrove 2
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Atherton Rovers 5
Atherton Collieries 2
Avro 1
Nantwich 3
Trafford 2
Stockton 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 5
Abbey Hulton 4
Hanley Town 0
Stourbridge 2
Bourne 1
Shepshed 2
Stamford 1
Coventry Sphinx 0
Kendal 0
Dunston 1
Wombwell Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Corby 1
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 5
Atherstone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 5
Redcar Athletic 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Hallam 2
Ashton United 4
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Newcastle Blue Star 1
Heaton Stannington 0
TBD -
Marine -
Buxton -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Skegness Town 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Stalybridge 3
TBD -
Chester -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Hebburn Town 1
Longridge Town 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 4
Widnes FC -
FC Congleton Town -
TBD -
Chorley -
Ilkeston 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 3
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 1
Whitby 2
Matlock 4
Bottesford Town 1
Carlton Town 3
Cleethorpes 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redbridge 1
Royston Town 2
Brentwood 2
Leighton Town 1
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Eastwood Community FC 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 4
Stratford 1
Sudbury 4
Mildenhall 0
Aveley 3
Hashtag 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 3
Wythenshawe FC 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Rossington Main 0
United of Manchester 4
Bishop Auckland 1
Chadderton 3
Coleshill Town 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Hednesford 3
Basford Utd. 1
Billericay 4
Barton 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
St Ives Town 0
Morpeth 2
Pontefract Collieries 1
Witton Albion 6
Shildon 3
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Leek Town 0
TBD -
Worksop -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 5
TBD -
Bath City -
Burnham FC 0
Jersey Bulls 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Waltham Abbey 3
March Town 1
Gorleston 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Canvey Island 0
Stanway Rovers 2
Cockfosters 1
Soul Tower Hamlets 4
Ascot United 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Lewes 1
Bracknell Town 4
Dartford 2
Tadley Calleva 4
Weymouth 2
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Whitstable Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
AFC Stoneham 0
Tavistock 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Cray Wanderers 2
Hanwell Town 3
Bedfont Sports 4
Littlehampton 3
Uxbridge 1
Welling 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Enfield FC 3
Ilford 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Quorn 8
Sherwood Colliery 0
Long Eaton 1
Kettering 4
Winchester City 0
Fareham 1
Fairford 0
Sholing 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Epsom 2
Risborough Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Torpoint 3
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Sheppey United 0
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Folkestone 3
Sevenoaks 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Ashford Town 3
Whyteleafe 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Faversham 5
Hastings 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 5
Yate 4
TBD -
Oxford City -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chertsey Town 2
Thame United 1
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 2
Steyning Town 5
Lancing 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Raynes Park Vale 0
Ashford United 2
Chatham 4
Marlow 0
Deal Town 2
Cobham 0
Beckenham Town 2
Egham Town 3
Gosport Borough 2
Basingstoke 1
Didcot 2
Poole Town 3
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 4
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Needham Market 4
Tilbury 2
Eynesbury Rovers 3
Arlesey 1
Histon 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Lowestoft 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Real Bedford 1
Stortford 2
Boston Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 3
TBD -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cheshunt 1
Leiston 2
Knaphill 1
Hackney Wick 2
Worcester 3
Chasetown 4
Mangotsfield 0
Banbury 1
Brightlingsea 2
Bury Town 3
Newmarket 2
Woodford Town 3
Potters 2
Hitchin 4
Aylesbury Vale 1
St. Albans 3
Alvechurch 4
Barwell 2
TBD -
Leamington -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hertford Town 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 4
Three Bridges 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 3
Portchester 1
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Exmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Frome Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury -
TBD -
Hythe & Dibden 1
Laverstock & Ford 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
Carshalton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Wokingham Town FC 1
Burgess Hill 5
Erith Town 0
Farnham 3
Falmouth Town 0
Brixham 5
Slimbridge 0
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Quarter-finals
AFC Fylde 4
Bamber Bridge 1
Bootle 1
Darlington FC 3
Telford 3
Kidderminster 1
Racing Club Warwick 3
Evesham 4
Macclesfield 3
Atherton Rovers 0
Nantwich 3
Trafford 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Stourbridge 1
Shepshed 0
Stamford 2
Dunston 1
Stocksbridge 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ashton United 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Newcastle Blue Star 0
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Redditch 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 1
Chester 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Hebburn Town 1
South Shields 2
Guiseley 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Chorley 1
Spalding United 3
Alfreton 0
Bedford 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Whitby 0
Matlock 3
Carlton Town 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Brentwood 0
Chesham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 7
Sudbury 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 0
Spennymoor 1
United of Manchester 0
Chadderton 1
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 7
Billericay 3
Berkhamsted Town 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 3
Southport 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Worksop 2
Peterborough Sports 2
Hornchurch 1
Wimborne 2
Bath City 1
Jersey Bulls 2
Worthing FC 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Gorleston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Stanway Rovers 0
Soul Tower Hamlets 0
Flackwell Heath 2
Bracknell Town 2
Tadley Calleva 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Hanwell Town 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Welling 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield FC 0
Enfield Town 3
Quorn 2
Kettering 1
Fareham 0
Sholing 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 4
Torpoint 0
Hampton & Richmond 4
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Horsham FC 8
Folkestone 2
Maidstone 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Ashford Town 0
Maidenhead 0
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 3
Oxford City 2
Farnborough 4
Dover Ath. 1
Chertsey Town 2
Cray Valley 3
Steyning Town 3
Tonbridge 8
Ashford United 0
Chatham 3
Deal Town 2
Egham Town 1
Gosport Borough 0
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Needham Market 4
Eynesbury Rovers 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
FC Witham Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Stortford 1
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hereford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 4
Hackney Wick 1
Chasetown 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
Woodford Town 2
Hitchin 1
St. Albans 2
Alvechurch 3
Leamington 0
Chelmsford 6
Hertford Town 0
Whitehawk 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 2
Torquay 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 4
Laverstock & Ford 1
Dorking Wanderers 7
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Burgess Hill 1
Farnham 3
Brixham 1
Dorchester 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Semi-finals
AFC Fylde 3
Darlington FC 5
Telford 4
Evesham 1
Macclesfield 2
Nantwich 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stamford 1
Dunston 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Ashton United 2
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Morecambe -
TBD -
Chester 5
Curzon Ashton 1
South Shields 4
Chorley 1
Spalding United 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Hyde 1
Matlock 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
King’s Lynn 5
Halesowen 0
Aveley 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Spennymoor 3
Chadderton 0
Hednesford 0
Billericay 2
Morpeth 1
Southport 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Harborough 4
Peterborough Sports 1
Wimborne 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Flackwell Heath 4
Bracknell Town 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Hungerford 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield Town 5
Quorn 1
Sholing 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Folkestone 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
Westbury United 0
Farnborough 1
Cray Valley 0
Tonbridge 5
Chatham 3
Deal Town 1
Poole Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Needham Market 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 5
Hereford 2
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 0
Banbury 3
Woodford Town 0
St. Albans 1
Alvechurch 1
Chelmsford 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Frome Town 2
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 3
Dorking Wanderers 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Farnham 3
Dorchester 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Final
Darlington FC 0
Telford 6
Macclesfield 1
Stamford 0
Gainsborough 4
Hartlepool 2
Carlisle 5
Boston United 2
Rochdale 1
York City 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
Buxton 1
Morecambe 1
Chester 3
South Shields 4
Spalding United 0
Tamworth 1
Hyde 0
Scunthorpe 4
King’s Lynn 2
Aveley 0
Gateshead 3
Spennymoor 1
Billericay 0
Southport 1
Halifax 3
Altrincham 5
Harborough 2
Worthing FC 1
Forest Green 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Woking 3
Brackley 7
Wealdstone 5
Whitstable Town 1
Slough Town 3
Enfield Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Eastleigh 2
Southend 4
Folkestone 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Solihull Moors 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Chatham 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Needham Market 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Yeovil 1
Banbury 1
St. Albans 2
Chelmsford 4
Chippenham Town 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
Aldershot 3
Farnham 5
Sutton 6