Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hemelingen vs Aumund-Vegesack

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 game between Hemelingen and Aumund-Vegesack finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hemelingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Hemelingen
6%
Draws
4%
Aumund-Vegesack
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hemelingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hemelingen come out ahead of Aumund-Vegesack on wins alone.
  • Hemelingen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hemelingen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hemelingen Clean Sheet 20%
Aumund-Vegesack Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hemelingen Aumund-Vegesack
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 11
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 5.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Aumund-Vegesack
8:1
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Hemelingen
2:2
Dec 8, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Aumund-Vegesack
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Aumund-Vegesack vs Hemelingen
1:3
Mar 24, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
Hemelingen vs Aumund-Vegesack
6:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hemelingen 85 / 100
Aumund-Vegesack 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hemelingen Aumund-Vegesack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hemelingen's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Aumund-Vegesack has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

Hemelingen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hemelingen VS Aumund-Vegesack
5.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hemelingen

(Home)
19 Jul
Hildesheim
2 : 1
Hemelingen
15 May
Hemelingen
7 : 2
Vatan Bremen
09 May
Union 60 Bremen
0 : 4
Hemelingen
06 May
Hemelingen
6 : 0
Woltmershausen
03 May
Hemelingen
1 : 0
Eiche Horn
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Aumund-Vegesack

(Away)
15 May
Aumund-Vegesack
1 : 3
Brinkumer
10 May
Vatan Bremen
2 : 4
Aumund-Vegesack
06 May
Aumund-Vegesack
0 : 3
Blumenthaler
02 May
Aumund-Vegesack
2 : 8
Union 60 Bremen
26 Apr
Eiche Horn
0 : 1
Aumund-Vegesack
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 30 24 3 3 95:35 75
2 Hemelingen 30 23 4 3 111:31 73
3 OSC Bremerhaven 30 20 4 6 86:40 64
4 Eiche Horn 30 20 2 8 69:37 62
5 Brinkumer 30 16 5 9 81:50 53
6 BTS Neustadt 30 16 2 12 86:73 50
7 Union 60 Bremen 30 15 3 12 72:65 48
8 Werder Bremen III 30 12 3 15 60:67 39
9 Oberneuland 30 10 6 14 65:58 36
10 ESC Geestemunde 30 10 5 15 56:81 35
11 Leher 30 10 4 16 52:62 34
12 Aumund-Vegesack 30 11 1 18 55:79 34
13 Vatan Bremen 30 9 2 19 49:91 29
14 Woltmershausen 30 6 5 19 43:90 23
15 Habenhauser 30 7 1 22 42:97 22
16 ATSV Sebaldsbruck 30 4 4 22 44:110 16
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2025/2026 (Play Offs)