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Heming vs Ullern

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heming host Ullern in the Division 3 - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Heming at 2.13 goals for, 1.63 against; Ullern at 1.96 for, 2.46 against. Head-to-head, Heming have won 1 to Ullern's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 2.13) point toward Heming. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Heming
15%
Draws
42%
Ullern
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ullern haven't matched Heming's recent run of results.
  • Heming are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heming Ullern
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Heming
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heming 65 / 100
Ullern 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heming Ullern

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heming Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Heming found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (24 games).

Difficult form: Ullern registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heming VS Ullern
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Heming

(Home)
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
04 Sept
Gamle Oslo
2 : 1
Heming
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
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Ullern

(Away)
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
30 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
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