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Stadium Background

Heming vs Valerenga 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ferrer U.
27' Event
Ferrer U.
59' Event
Elhammichi A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Heming and Valerenga 2 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heming.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Heming
15%
Draws
42%
Valerenga 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heming

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valerenga 2 come out ahead of Heming on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Heming taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Heming Clean Sheet 10%
Valerenga 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heming Valerenga 2
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Heming vs Valerenga 2
5:2
May 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Valerenga 2 vs Heming
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heming Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer U.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Elhammichi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Valerenga 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Apold-Aasen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usman T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heming 65 / 100
Valerenga 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heming Valerenga 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heming Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valerenga 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Heming's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Heming went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heming VS Valerenga 2
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heming

(Home)
19 Sept
Grei
1 : 4
Heming
12 Sept
Heming
5 : 1
Frigg
04 Sept
Gamle Oslo
2 : 1
Heming
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
22 Aug
Heming
0 : 2
Stabaek
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Valerenga 2

(Away)
19 Sept
Ullern
2 : 1
Valerenga 2
12 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Gamle Oslo
05 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 1
Konnerud
30 Aug
Heming
5 : 2
Valerenga 2
16 Aug
Valerenga 2
4 : 3
Ready
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