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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Changchun Yatai

China China

Super League 2025 Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Bruno Nazario
Assist: Iago Maidana
61'
Sub
Piao Taoyu In: Wang Yu
Out: Piao Taoyu
61'
Sub
Peng Xinli In: Salazar J.
Out: Peng Xinli

AI Match Summary

Henan Songshan Longmen in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Henan Songshan Longmen
22%
Draws
18%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Henan Songshan Longmen have won more games recently than Changchun Yatai.
  • Win probability leans Henan Songshan Longmen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 18%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Changchun Yatai
2:0
May 11, 2025 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:1
Oct 27, 2024 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Changchun Yatai
0:0
May 26, 2024 Super League
Changchun Yatai vs Henan Songshan Longmen
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Changchun Yatai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruno Nazario
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Maia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Changchun Yatai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 58 / 100
Changchun Yatai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Henan Songshan Longmen scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Henan Songshan Longmen has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Changchun Yatai
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
26 Jul
Shandong Taishan
1 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
21 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Dalian Yingbo
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
17 Jul
Changchun Yatai
1 : 5
Wuxi Wugou
05 Jul
Meizhou Hakka
1 : 3
Changchun Yatai
27 Jun
Changchun Yatai
1 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
13 Jun
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Dalian Kun City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shanghai Port30206472:4466
2Shanghai Shenhua30197467:3564
3Chengdu Rongcheng30179460:2860
4Beijing Guoan30176769:4657
5Shandong Taishan30158769:4653
6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger301281040:4144
7Zhejiang Professional301012860:5142
8Yunnan Yukun301191047:5242
9Qingdao West Coast3010101039:4340
10Henan Songshan Longmen301071352:4837
11Dalian Yingbo30991230:4536
12Shenzhen Xinpengcheng30831935:5927
13Wuhan Three Towns30671734:6225
14Qingdao Hainiu305101535:4825
15Meizhou Hakka30561936:7121
16Changchun Yatai30471926:5219
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - League One (Main)