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Henan Songshan Longmen vs Liaoning Tieren

China China

Super League Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium, Zhengzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lucas Maia
Assist: Gustavo
18'
Jeffinho
20' Event
Bruno Nazario
Assist: Huang Ruifeng

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Henan Songshan Longmen and Liaoning Tieren finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Henan Songshan Longmen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Henan Songshan Longmen
17%
Draws
13%
Liaoning Tieren
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Henan Songshan Longmen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Liaoning Tieren's 1.88 goals per match outpaces what Henan Songshan Longmen have produced (1.5).
  • Win probability leans Henan Songshan Longmen's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Henan Songshan Longmen Clean Sheet 15%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Henan Songshan Longmen Liaoning Tieren
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Super League
Henan Songshan Longmen vs Liaoning Tieren
4:0
Apr 24, 2018 FA Cup
Liaoning Tieren vs Henan Songshan Longmen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Henan Songshan Longmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Maia
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Nazario
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Henan Songshan Longmen 66 / 100
Liaoning Tieren 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Henan Songshan Longmen Liaoning Tieren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Henan Songshan Longmen found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Liaoning Tieren conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Liaoning Tieren registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Henan Songshan Longmen VS Liaoning Tieren
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Henan Songshan Longmen

(Home)
21 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Dalian Yingbo
17 Jul
Henan Songshan Longmen
5 : 1
Qingdao Hainiu
03 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 1
Henan Songshan Longmen
27 Jun
Henan Songshan Longmen
1 : 2
Shanghai Port
19 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Henan Songshan Longmen
Page 1 of 6

Liaoning Tieren

(Away)
25 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
0 : 1
Qingdao West Coast
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong
27 Jun
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 5
Shandong Taishan
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng19134239:1843
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1978423:2129
3Dalian Yingbo1891828:3228
4Yunnan Yukun1974836:3525
5Qingdao West Coast19510423:2925
6Shandong Taishan1993735:3424
7Beijing Guoan1876530:2422
8Zhejiang Professional1975727:3221
9Liaoning Tieren1863925:3021
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng19621125:3320
11Shanghai Shenhua1885536:2919
12Henan Songshan Longmen1873823:2318
13Shanghai Port1856728:2616
14Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1966726:2214
15Qingdao Hainiu20631130:3814
16Wuhan Three Towns1837826:3411
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)