Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hendon vs Bognor Regis

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Fadahunsi T.
37' Event
Ilic S.
55' Event
Anokye-Boadi K.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 game between Hendon and Bognor Regis finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hendon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hendon
15%
Draws
37%
Bognor Regis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hendon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bognor Regis come out ahead of Hendon on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Hendon Clean Sheet 10%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hendon Bognor Regis
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hendon vs Bognor Regis
5:1
Aug 24, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Hendon
2:2
Feb 7, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division
Hendon vs Bognor Regis
2:2
Nov 26, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Hendon
0:2
Apr 23, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division
Bognor Regis vs Hendon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hendon Compare

Top Goalscorer Anokye-Boadi K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fadahunsi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bognor Regis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mather J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hendon 30 / 100
Bognor Regis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hendon Bognor Regis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hendon scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bognor Regis conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Hendon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hendon VS Bognor Regis
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hendon

(Home)
05 Sept
Hendon
7 : 3
Hullbridge
29 Aug
Hastings
2 : 1
Hendon
14 Jul
Ware
2 : 4
Hendon
25 Oct
Walton & Hersham
5 : 1
Hendon
04 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
0 : 1
Hendon
Page 1 of 6

Bognor Regis

(Away)
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horsham FC 42 28 3 11 82:40 87
2 Billericay 42 26 9 7 83:42 87
3 Dartford 42 25 9 8 77:49 84
4 Cray Valley 42 23 11 8 80:56 77
5 Dover Ath. 42 23 7 12 83:48 76
6 Chichester City 42 22 7 13 72:59 73
7 Carshalton 42 20 10 12 72:54 70
8 Hashtag 42 18 10 14 82:71 64
9 Chatham 42 17 12 13 74:53 63
10 Cray Wanderers 42 18 7 17 58:52 61
11 Wingate & Finchley 42 17 9 16 76:67 60
12 Folkestone 42 17 7 18 61:66 58
13 Lewes 42 15 13 14 59:64 58
14 Potters 42 17 6 19 57:75 57
15 Cheshunt 42 14 7 21 61:69 49
16 Whitehawk 42 14 7 21 49:66 49
17 Canvey Island 42 13 5 24 48:66 44
18 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 8 22 58:80 44
19 Hendon 42 9 12 21 61:79 39
20 Hastings 42 8 10 24 37:75 34
21 Bognor Regis 42 8 8 26 51:100 32
22 Bowers & Pitsea 42 7 5 30 34:84 26
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2024/2025 (Play Offs)