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Hennef vs 1. FC Duren Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between Hennef and 1. FC Duren finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Hennef
20%
Draws
29%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Hennef carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Hennef taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1. FC Duren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hennef Clean Sheet 12%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hennef 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs 1. FC Duren
1:0
Sep 19, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
2:0
Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
7:1
May 1, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Hennef
5:1
Oct 17, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Hennef vs 1. FC Duren
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hennef 38 / 100
1. FC Duren 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hennef 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hennef Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Hennef found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

1. FC Duren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Hennef went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hennef VS 1. FC Duren
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hennef

(Home)
27 Sept
Konigsdorf
1 : 4
Hennef
20 Sept
Hennef
0 : 3
FC Wegberg-Beeck
13 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
3 : 0
Hennef
06 Sept
Hennef
2 : 1
Bornheim
30 Aug
FC Hurth
0 : 0
Hennef
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1. FC Duren

(Away)
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
28 Aug
VfL Vichttal
6 : 2
1. FC Duren
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)