Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein

Hennef

1 - 0

1. FC Duren

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Hennef and 1. FC Duren finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hennef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Hennef

20%

Draws

38%

1. FC Duren

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hennef

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Hennef's 2.5 goals per match outpaces what 1. FC Duren have produced (2).
42% — that's where the model lands on Hennef taking it.
Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors 1. FC Duren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Hennef Clean Sheet 10%

1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hennef	1. FC Duren
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	11
Draws	2	5
Losses	17	14
Goals Scored	2.5	2
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Hennef vs 1. FC Duren

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sep 19, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein

1. FC Duren vs Hennef

Possession: 58% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Jan 28, 2023 Club Friendly

1. FC Duren vs Hennef

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

7:1

May 1, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein

1. FC Duren vs Hennef

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Oct 17, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Hennef vs 1. FC Duren

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 4 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hennef 40 / 100

1. FC Duren 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hennef 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Hennef found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

1. FC Duren's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Hennef went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hennef VS 1. FC Duren

2.5 Goals Scored 2

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	85:28	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	86:36	64
3	Siegburger	30	19	5	6	75:34	62
4	Merten	30	18	6	6	80:28	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	5	7	80:43	59
6	FC Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	62:35	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	66:54	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	65:56	46
9	Konigsdorf	30	14	4	12	53:54	46
10	Fortuna Koln II	30	13	6	11	62:47	45
11	1. FC Duren	30	11	5	14	49:59	38
12	Hennef	30	11	2	17	45:66	35
13	SpVg Porz 1919	30	7	4	19	58:99	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	25:104	16
15	Sportfreunde Duren	30	4	2	24	41:103	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	26:112	8