Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hera United W vs Ajax W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dostmohamed I.
Assist: van Schoonhoven N.
12' Event
Van Egmond B.
Assist: Spitse S.
14' Event
van Hensbergen J.
Assist: Van Egmond B.

AI Match Summary

Hera United W host Ajax W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Hera United W have averaged 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded recently, against Ajax W's 1.88 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Hera United W slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.06) point toward Ajax W. Ajax W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Hera United W
11%
Draws
80%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajax W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hera United W.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Ajax W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Hera United W Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hera United W Ajax W
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Hera United W
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Hera United W vs Ajax W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hera United W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dostmohamed I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Van Egmond B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hera United W 10 / 100
Ajax W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hera United W Ajax W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AJA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hera United W scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Ajax W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hera United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ajax W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hera United W VS Ajax W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV W22173256:1554
2Ajax W22155255:1850
3Feyenoord W22145345:1747
4Twente W22144455:1946
5Utrecht W22114741:3737
6PEC Zwolle W221111035:3234
7Heerenveen W22821238:5126
8AZ Alkmaar W22661036:4624
9Den Haag W22641224:4522
10Hera United W22551224:4220
11SBV Excelsior W22221818:518
12NAC Breda W22211917:717