Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportpark Goed Genoeg

SBV Excelsior W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hera United W play SBV Excelsior W in the Eredivisie Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hera United W averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. SBV Excelsior W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Hera United W won 1, SBV Excelsior W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 22, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Hera United W and 1.38 for SBV Excelsior W. This points to a Hera United W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Hera United W

15%

Draws

33%

SBV Excelsior W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hera United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Hera United W picked up more points recently compared to SBV Excelsior W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Hera United W Clean Sheet 17%

SBV Excelsior W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hera United W	SBV Excelsior W
Matches Played	25	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	5	3
Losses	13	20
Goals Scored	1.16	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.92	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Eredivisie Women

SBV Excelsior W vs Hera United W

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women

Hera United W vs SBV Excelsior W

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hera United W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Belen J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

SBV Excelsior W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Spijk V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hera United W 50 / 100

SBV Excelsior W 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hera United W SBV Excelsior W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hera United W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18%

2.27

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hera United W attacking → ← attacking SBV Excelsior W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hera United W scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

SBV Excelsior W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Hera United W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SBV Excelsior W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 24

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSV W	22	17	3	2	56:15	54
2	Ajax W	22	15	5	2	55:18	50
3	Feyenoord W	22	14	5	3	45:17	47
4	Twente W	22	14	4	4	55:19	46
5	Utrecht W	22	11	4	7	41:37	37
6	PEC Zwolle W	22	11	1	10	35:32	34
7	Heerenveen W	22	8	2	12	38:51	26
8	AZ Alkmaar W	22	6	6	10	36:46	24
9	Den Haag W	22	6	4	12	24:45	22
10	Hera United W	22	5	5	12	24:42	20
11	SBV Excelsior W	22	2	2	18	18:51	8
12	NAC Breda W	22	2	1	19	17:71	7