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Heraclea vs Paganese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Scoring Trends

Heraclea
VS
Paganese
1.13
Goals Scored
1.38
1.63
Goals Conceded
1.38
1.25 Expected Goals (xG) 1.50
88%
Over 1.5
75%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Paganese hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win29%
Draw23%
Away Win48%

Goals & Scoring

BTTS/GG: Yes42%
Over 1.5 Goals56%
Over 2.5 Goals31%

Match Events

7' Event
El Haddadi A.
45' Event
Labriola V.
52' Event
Musy Hernandez M.

Previous Encounters

11 Jan 26 SER
Heraclea
1:2
Paganese
14 Sept 25 SER
Paganese
0:1
Heraclea

Recent Form (Last 5)

Heraclea

Home Team
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1
Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1
Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3
Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea

Paganese

Away Team
17 May
Martina Calcio
0 : 1
Paganese
10 May
Citta di Fasano
1 : 2
Paganese
03 May
Citta di Fasano
6 : 0
Paganese
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
Gravina
1 : 0
Paganese

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414

Match Preview: Heraclea vs Paganese

The upcoming fixture between Heraclea and Paganese promises to be an engaging encounter in Serie D - Group H. Scheduled for Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Heraclea and Paganese are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Heraclea will look to leverage their #15 to gain an advantage, while Paganese aims to improve their #4 with a positive result on the road. Heraclea enters the match in a form of D-W-L-L-L, while Paganese shows a form of W-W-L-W-L.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically. In their last 2 head-to-head encounters, Heraclea has won 1 times, Paganese has won 1 times, and there have been 0 draws.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Heraclea will try to assert dominance early, whereas Paganese might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances. Statistically, Heraclea has scored 1.13 goals and conceded 1.63 goals in recent games, while Paganese has scored 1.38 and conceded 1.38 goals.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Serie D - Group H, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.

Event Details

  • Match: Heraclea vs Paganese
  • Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
  • Time: 14:00 UTC
  • Competition: Serie D - Group H
  • Venue: the stadium, Italy

Note: Information provided by Sokapicks for informational purposes.