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Paysandu FC vs Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Carrizo L.
41' Event
Cantera M.
75' Event
Carrizo L.

AI Match Summary

Plaza Colonia in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Paysandu FC
33%
Draws
27%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Paysandu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia have won more games recently than Paysandu FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Paysandu FC taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paysandu FC Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Plaza Colonia
1:2
Apr 17, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu FC
1:1
Oct 21, 2006 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Plaza Colonia
2:3
Aug 28, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu FC
2:2
Apr 30, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs Paysandu FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantera M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrizo L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paysandu FC 50 / 100
Plaza Colonia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paysandu FC Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Plaza Colonia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Plaza Colonia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paysandu FC VS Plaza Colonia
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paysandu FC

(Home)
13 Jul
Paysandu FC
1 : 0
Fenix
04 Jul
Rentistas
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
27 Jun
Paysandu FC
2 : 3
Miramar
20 Jun
Tacuarembo
1 : 0
Paysandu FC
14 Jun
Paysandu FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
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Plaza Colonia

(Away)
11 Jul
River Plate Montevideo
3 : 2
Plaza Colonia
04 Jul
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0
La Luz
28 Jun
Cerrito
1 : 0
Plaza Colonia
20 Jun
Plaza Colonia
1 : 2
Atenas
14 Jun
Paysandu FC
1 : 2
Plaza Colonia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1154215:1319
3River Plate Montevideo1153318:1718
4Club Oriental De Futbol1136216:1315
5Colon1043310:915
6Rentistas1143411:1315
7Tacuarembo104248:1014
8Fenix1034314:1213
9Miramar1034314:1213
10La Luz103438:813
11Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
12Huracan FC113358:1312
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1123611:169
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)