Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Biasiol E.
38'
38'
Berardocco L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Heraclea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- SS Nola 1925 have won more games recently than Heraclea.
- Model gives Heraclea a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Heraclea Clean Sheet 68%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heraclea | SS Nola 1925 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Heraclea
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Heraclea vs SS Nola 1925
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
SS Nola 1925 vs Heraclea
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heraclea Compare
Top Goalscorer Biasiol E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
SS Nola 1925 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heraclea 59 / 100
SS Nola 1925 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heraclea SS Nola 1925
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SS Nola 1925 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Heraclea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Solid form: Heraclea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Heraclea VS SS Nola 1925
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Heraclea
(Home) 10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1 Ferrandina
26 Apr
Martina Calcio
2 : 1 Heraclea
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3 Barletta
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Heraclea
2 : 1 Ferrandina
19 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 3 Barletta
02 Apr
Heraclea
1 : 1 Manfredonia
22 Mar
Heraclea
1 : 1 Sarnese
01 Mar
Heraclea
1 : 3 Virtus Francavilla
Page 1 of 3
SS Nola 1925
(Away) 10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1 Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0 Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0 SS Nola 1925
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
28 Mar
Sarnese
1 : 0 SS Nola 1925
15 Mar
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 SS Nola 1925
22 Feb
Acerrana
4 : 2 SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)
