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Heracles vs Den Bosch

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Fri, Aug 14, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heracles host Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie. This one's hard to separate. Heracles have averaged 0.75 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Den Bosch's 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Heracles have won 3 to Den Bosch's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2023, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Den Bosch. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Heracles
20%
Draws
38%
Den Bosch
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Den Bosch lately — more wins on the board than Heracles.
  • Model gives Heracles a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Heracles Clean Sheet 12%
Den Bosch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Den Bosch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Den Bosch
3:2
Sep 30, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Sep 25, 2018 KNVB Beker
Den Bosch vs Heracles
1:2
Jul 23, 2014 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Heracles
2:0
Jul 27, 2010 Club Friendly
Den Bosch vs Heracles
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 40 / 100
Den Bosch 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Den Bosch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Den Bosch let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Heracles scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Den Bosch has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Den Bosch
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
03 May
Zwolle
1 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Den Bosch

(Away)
18 Jul
Eindhoven FC
0 : 0
Den Bosch
11 Jul
Den Bosch
3 : 1
Quick Boys
02 May
Almere City
3 : 0
Den Bosch
29 Apr
Den Bosch
2 : 3
Almere City
24 Apr
Den Bosch
1 : 3
Den Haag
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1De Graafschap00000:00
2Venlo00000:00
3Den Bosch00000:00
4Dordrecht00000:00
5Eindhoven FC00000:00
6FC Emmen00000:00
7Helmond Sport00000:00
8Maastricht00000:00
9Almere City00000:00
10TOP Oss00000:00
11FC Volendam00000:00
12Waalwijk00000:00
13NAC Breda00000:00
14Roda00000:00
15Vitesse00000:00
16Heracles00000:00
17Jong PSV00000:00
18Jong Ajax00000:00
19Jong AZ Alkmaar00000:00
20Jong Utrecht00000:00
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)