Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Godts M.
Assist: Mokio J.
17'
17'
Berghuis S.
Assist: Weghorst W.
46'
46'
Sub
Bruns T. In: Cestic S.
Out: Bruns T.
AI Match Summary
Ajax in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ajax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Ajax have won more games recently than Heracles.
- Heracles are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ajax have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.14 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Ajax
0:3
Aug 24, 2025 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heracles
2:0
Feb 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Ajax vs Heracles
4:0
Oct 20, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Ajax
3:4
Jan 27, 2024 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Ajax
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heracles Compare
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Ajax Compare
Top Goalscorer Berghuis S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Godts M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heracles 40 / 100
Ajax 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heracles Ajax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Heracles scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Ajax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Heracles has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Heracles VS Ajax
3 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home) 18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 3
Ajax
(Away) 15 Sept
Ajax
5 : 1 Willem II
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
27 Aug
Ajax
5 : 3 Sion
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sittard
1 : 5 Ajax
30 Aug
Telstar
0 : 4 Ajax
20 Aug
Sion
2 : 4 Ajax
13 Aug
Shelbourne
2 : 2 Ajax
09 Aug
Zwolle
0 : 2 Ajax
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
