Sport Picks
Heracles vs De Graafschap - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo 
Match Events
2'
2'
N'djoli J.
Assist: Abbas C.
23'
23'
Wrusch M.
41'
41'
Abbas C.
Assist: Scheperman S.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Heracles and De Graafschap finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Heracles carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Heracles a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | De Graafschap |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs De Graafschap
5:0
Jan 16, 2025 KNVB Beker
De Graafschap vs Heracles
0:2
Apr 7, 2023 Eerste Divisie
De Graafschap vs Heracles
5:3
Oct 7, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs De Graafschap
3:2
Jul 31, 2021 Club Friendly
Heracles vs De Graafschap
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heracles Compare
Top Goalscorer N'djoli J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Abbas C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
De Graafschap Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heracles 85 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heracles De Graafschap
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
De Graafschap has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.80 goals.
Attacking prowess: Heracles scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heracles VS De Graafschap
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home) 02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0 TOP Oss
29 Oct
De Treffers
1 : 0 Heracles
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1 Heracles
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0 TOP Oss
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
De Graafschap
(Away) 30 Oct
FC Volendam
1 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0 De Graafschap
23 Oct
De Graafschap
1 : 1 Waalwijk
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 De Graafschap
09 Oct
De Graafschap
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
FC Volendam
1 : 2 De Graafschap
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0 De Graafschap
19 Oct
Jong Ajax
2 : 1 De Graafschap
03 Oct
Eindhoven FC
2 : 2 De Graafschap
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2 De Graafschap
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
