Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Wieckhoff J.
23'
23'
Scheperman S.
38'
38'
Sub
Schouten L. In: Meissen R.
Out: Schouten L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Heracles haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Heracles taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
3:5
Mar 20, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Heracles
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heracles Compare
Top Goalscorer Scheperman S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanches Fernandes D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heracles 83 / 100
Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heracles Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Heracles's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Heracles VS Excelsior
3.25 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home) 11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3 Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6 Heracles
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2 Den Bosch
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0 FC Emmen
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior
(Away) 13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2 Utrecht
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Willem II
0 : 3 Excelsior
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 5 Excelsior
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
