Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Wieckhoff J.
23'
23'
Scheperman S.
38'
38'
Sub
Schouten L. In: Meissen R.
Out: Schouten L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Excelsior
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Heracles haven't matched Excelsior's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
3:5
Mar 20, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Heracles
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Excelsior
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heracles Compare
Top Goalscorer Scheperman S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Excelsior Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanches Fernandes D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heracles 10 / 100
Excelsior 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heracles Excelsior
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EXC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Heracles's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Excelsior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Heracles VS Excelsior
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home) 24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0 FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1 Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2 Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0 Heracles
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0 FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1 Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2 Groningen
26 Apr
Heracles
0 : 2 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 4
Excelsior
(Away) 24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
04 Jul
Excelsior
3 : 2 Cambuur
17 May
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Excelsior
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5 Excelsior
18 Jul
NAC Breda
1 : 3 Excelsior
11 Jul
Dordrecht
0 : 2 Excelsior
17 May
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 3 Excelsior
02 May
Groningen
2 : 3 Excelsior
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
