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Heracles vs Groningen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ould Chikh W. In: Engels M.
Out: Ould Chikh W.
46'
Sub
Kulenovic L. In: N'djoli J.
Out: Kulenovic L.
46'
Sub
Sambo G. In: Rodriguez M.
Out: Sambo G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Heracles and Groningen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Heracles
20%
Draws
20%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Heracles's 1.59 goals per match outpaces what Groningen have produced (1.43).
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Heracles Clean Sheet 15%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Groningen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:0
Apr 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:1
Jan 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Benita M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamburek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willumsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 84 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Heracles scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Groningen
3.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2
Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
30 Aug
Eindhoven FC
1 : 3
Heracles
24 Aug
Jong Utrecht
1 : 6
Heracles
14 Aug
Heracles
3 : 2
Den Bosch
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Groningen

(Away)
12 Sept
G.A. Eagles
1 : 1
Groningen
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
28 Aug
Groningen
2 : 3
Sittard
23 Aug
PSV
5 : 1
Groningen
16 Aug
Den Haag
1 : 4
Groningen
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