Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Heracles vs Groningen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ould Chikh W. In: Engels M.
Out: Ould Chikh W.
46'
Sub
Kulenovic L. In: N'djoli J.
Out: Kulenovic L.
46'
Sub
Sambo G. In: Manny
Out: Sambo G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Heracles and Groningen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Heracles
33%
Draws
27%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Groningen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Heracles Clean Sheet 13%
Groningen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Groningen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Heracles vs Groningen
2:1
May 17, 2026 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:2
Aug 29, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:0
Apr 23, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heracles
4:1
Jan 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Groningen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Heracles Compare

Top Goalscorer Benita M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamburek J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer Willumsson B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 39 / 100
Groningen 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Heracles's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Groningen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Groningen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Groningen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
24 Jul
Heracles
3 : 5
Excelsior
17 Jul
Heracles
2 : 0
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
17 May
Heracles
1 : 2
Groningen
10 May
Telstar
3 : 0
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Groningen

(Away)
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
11 Jul
Groningen
3 : 2
FC Emmen
08 Jul
Heracles
2 : 1
Groningen
Page 1 of 6