Sport Picks
Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo 
AI Match Summary
Heracles host Jong AZ Alkmaar in the Eerste Divisie. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Heracles have averaged 1.41 scored and 2.26 conceded recently, against Jong AZ Alkmaar's 2.07 scored and 1.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Heracles slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2023, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Jong AZ Alkmaar. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Heracles haven't matched Jong AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
- Model gives Heracles a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Heracles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Jong AZ Alkmaar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home)Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16:7 | 12 |
| 2 | Maastricht | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Almere City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Venlo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 7 | Vitesse | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Roda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 13 | Den Bosch | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 14 | Dordrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 4 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Eindhoven FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:15 | 0 |
