Sport Picks
Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo 
Match Events
6'
6'
Scheperman S.
17'
17'
Hauswirth M.
20'
20'
de Wit H.
Assist: de Wit T.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie game between Heracles and Jong AZ Alkmaar finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heracles.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Heracles haven't matched Jong AZ Alkmaar's recent run of results.
- Model gives Heracles a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Heracles have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Heracles Clean Sheet 10%
Jong AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Jong AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
3:2
Mar 10, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Jan 6, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Jong AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Heracles Compare
Top Goalscorer Scheperman S.
2 Goals Assists Leader N'djoli J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Jong AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer de Wit H.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Wit T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Heracles 74 / 100
Jong AZ Alkmaar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Heracles Jong AZ Alkmaar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
Heracles scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Heracles has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Heracles VS Jong AZ Alkmaar
2.63 Goals Scored 3
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home) 02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0 TOP Oss
29 Oct
De Treffers
1 : 0 Heracles
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1 Heracles
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5 Heracles
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0 TOP Oss
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0 Waalwijk
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0 Vitesse
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0 De Graafschap
Page 1 of 3
Jong AZ Alkmaar
(Away) 30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
23 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5 : 4 Helmond Sport
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
09 Oct
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Den Bosch
18 Sept
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
16 Oct
Venlo
4 : 4 Jong AZ Alkmaar
14 Sept
Jong PSV
1 : 1 Jong AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
Heracles
3 : 2 Jong AZ Alkmaar
05 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 6 Jong AZ Alkmaar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 39:14 | 32 |
| 2 | Venlo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 36:21 | 28 |
| 3 | Almere City | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Roda | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:12 | 25 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | NAC Breda | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30:22 | 19 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 32:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Maastricht | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17:29 | 17 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 16 |
| 13 | Jong PSV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 16 |
| 14 | De Graafschap | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:27 | 15 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:22 | 13 |
| 16 | Jong Ajax | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:30 | 13 |
| 17 | Helmond Sport | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 23:28 | 12 |
| 18 | Eindhoven FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:28 | 11 |
| 19 | Dordrecht | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 22:33 | 10 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
