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Heracles vs Jong PSV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Fri, Nov 20, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heracles host Jong PSV in the Eerste Divisie. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Heracles at 1.96 goals for, 1.61 against; Jong PSV at 1.4 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Heracles have won 2 to Jong PSV's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.31) back Heracles to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Heracles
20%
Draws
33%
Jong PSV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Jong PSV haven't matched Heracles's recent run of results.
  • Heracles are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Heracles Clean Sheet 18%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Jong PSV
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.96 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Jong PSV
3:0
Aug 22, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Heracles
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 58 / 100
Jong PSV 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Jong PSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jong PSV has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Heracles scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Heracles stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Jong PSV
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
06 Nov
Heracles
5 : 1
Roda
02 Nov
Heracles
2 : 0
TOP Oss
29 Oct
De Treffers
1 : 0
Heracles
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
Page 1 of 6

Jong PSV

(Away)
06 Nov
Venlo
1 : 1
Jong PSV
02 Nov
Jong PSV
0 : 2
NAC Breda
27 Oct
Ipswich U21
0 : 7
Jong PSV
23 Oct
Eindhoven FC
1 : 2
Jong PSV
19 Oct
Jong PSV
0 : 1
Dordrecht
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 14 11 2 1 44:15 35
2 Venlo 14 9 2 3 37:22 29
3 Almere City 14 9 1 4 30:14 28
4 FC Emmen 13 8 1 4 26:24 25
5 NAC Breda 14 7 4 3 25:20 25
6 Roda 14 7 4 3 18:17 25
7 FC Volendam 14 7 1 6 33:24 22
8 Den Bosch 13 5 3 5 23:21 18
9 Vitesse 13 5 3 5 17:18 18
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Waalwijk 14 3 8 3 23:20 17
12 Jong AZ Alkmaar 14 5 2 7 33:31 17
13 Jong PSV 14 4 5 5 18:22 17
14 Jong Ajax 14 4 4 6 22:30 16
15 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
16 TOP Oss 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
17 Helmond Sport 14 3 3 8 25:31 12
18 Dordrecht 14 3 3 8 18:34 12
19 Eindhoven FC 14 3 2 9 18:31 11
20 Jong Utrecht 13 3 1 9 22:33 10
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)