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Heracles vs Roda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heracles host Roda in the Eerste Divisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Roda have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Heracles have conceded 1.78 and scored 1.78. Past meetings favor Heracles slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2023, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.13) point toward Heracles. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Heracles
30%
Draws
43%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Roda have won more games recently than Heracles.
  • Win probability leans Heracles's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Heracles have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Heracles Clean Sheet 20%
Roda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles Roda
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs Roda
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Roda vs Heracles
1:3
Oct 18, 2022 KNVB Beker
Roda vs Heracles
2:3
Mar 2, 2018 Eredivisie
Roda vs Heracles
0:3
Sep 23, 2017 Eredivisie
Heracles vs Roda
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 40 / 100
Roda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Heracles found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Heracles has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS Roda
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
29 Oct
De Treffers
1 : 0
Heracles
23 Oct
NAC Breda
1 : 1
Heracles
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
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Roda

(Away)
30 Oct
Roda
2 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
27 Oct
Roda
1 : 0
De Graafschap
23 Oct
Almere City
2 : 3
Roda
19 Oct
Jong Utrecht
1 : 2
Roda
09 Oct
Roda
1 : 1
Jong PSV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 12 9 2 1 37:14 29
2 Venlo 13 9 1 3 36:21 28
3 FC Emmen 12 8 1 3 26:19 25
4 Almere City 13 8 1 4 27:13 25
5 Roda 13 7 4 2 17:12 25
6 NAC Breda 12 6 3 3 23:20 21
7 FC Volendam 13 6 1 6 30:22 19
8 Vitesse 12 5 2 5 16:17 17
9 Jong AZ Alkmaar 13 5 2 6 32:28 17
10 Maastricht 13 5 2 6 17:29 17
11 Jong PSV 12 4 4 4 17:19 16
12 Waalwijk 13 3 7 3 22:19 16
13 Den Bosch 12 4 3 5 18:21 15
14 De Graafschap 13 4 3 6 17:27 15
15 TOP Oss 12 4 1 7 19:20 13
16 Jong Ajax 12 3 3 6 18:29 12
17 Helmond Sport 13 3 3 7 23:28 12
18 Dordrecht 12 3 2 7 16:31 11
19 Eindhoven FC 13 3 2 8 18:28 11
20 Jong Utrecht 12 2 1 9 19:31 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)