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Heracles vs TOP Oss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie Asito Stadium, Almelo
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Heracles host TOP Oss in the Eerste Divisie. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Heracles at 1.78 goals for, 1.89 against; TOP Oss at 1.57 for, 1.93 against. Past meetings favor Heracles slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 17, 2023, ending 1:5. xG projections (2.13 - 1.38) back Heracles to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Heracles
15%
Draws
40%
TOP Oss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heracles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • TOP Oss haven't matched Heracles's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Heracles taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Heracles here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Heracles Clean Sheet 17%
TOP Oss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Heracles TOP Oss
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.78 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2023 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Heracles
1:5
Nov 19, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs TOP Oss
3:0
Jul 21, 2015 Club Friendly
Heracles vs TOP Oss
2:1
Apr 8, 2005 Eerste Divisie
TOP Oss vs Heracles
0:1
Nov 12, 2004 Eerste Divisie
Heracles vs TOP Oss
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Heracles 75 / 100
TOP Oss 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Heracles TOP Oss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heracles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOP Oss let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Heracles found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Heracles remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Heracles VS TOP Oss
2.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Heracles

(Home)
18 Oct
Maastricht
1 : 5
Heracles
09 Oct
Heracles
3 : 0
Waalwijk
02 Oct
Helmond Sport
2 : 2
Heracles
26 Sept
Heracles
2 : 0
Vitesse
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0
Heracles
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TOP Oss

(Away)
16 Oct
Den Bosch
2 : 1
TOP Oss
09 Oct
TOP Oss
3 : 1
Helmond Sport
03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1
Maastricht
26 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 0
TOP Oss
18 Sept
TOP Oss
3 : 0
Dordrecht
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heracles 11 9 1 1 36:13 28
2 Almere City 11 7 1 3 23:9 22
3 Venlo 11 7 1 3 30:18 22
4 FC Emmen 11 7 1 3 24:19 22
5 NAC Breda 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Roda 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
7 Vitesse 11 5 2 4 16:15 17
8 FC Volendam 11 5 1 5 23:18 16
9 Maastricht 11 5 1 5 14:25 16
10 Waalwijk 11 3 6 2 20:16 15
11 Jong AZ Alkmaar 11 4 2 5 26:22 14
12 Den Bosch 11 4 2 5 16:19 14
13 Jong PSV 11 3 4 4 15:18 13
14 TOP Oss 11 4 0 7 16:17 12
15 Eindhoven FC 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
16 Jong Ajax 11 3 2 6 15:26 11
17 De Graafschap 11 3 2 6 14:25 11
18 Dordrecht 11 3 2 6 14:27 11
19 Helmond Sport 11 2 3 6 16:21 9
20 Jong Utrecht 11 2 1 8 17:25 7
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)