Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Heracles host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Heracles at 1.56 goals for, 2.04 against; Waalwijk at 1.91 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Heracles slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.94, favoring Waalwijk. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Waalwijk come out ahead of Heracles on wins alone.
- Heracles are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Heracles | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 12 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Heracles's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Waalwijk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 33 matches.
Heracles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Heracles
(Home)Waalwijk
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 21 |
| 2 | Almere City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 15 |
| 5 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
| 15 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:23 | 7 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
| 20 | TOP Oss | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:13 | 6 |
