Sport Picks
Herbania vs Atletico Paso Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
28'
28'
Corral S.
51'
51'
Yared
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Herbania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Paso have won more games recently than Herbania.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Atletico Paso here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Herbania Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Herbania | Atletico Paso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Herbania
4:2
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Atletico Paso
0:1
Mar 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Herbania
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Herbania Compare
Top Goalscorer Yared
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Atletico Paso Compare
Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Herbania 32 / 100
Atletico Paso 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Herbania Atletico Paso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Herbania scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: Herbania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Atletico Paso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Herbania VS Atletico Paso
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Herbania
(Home) 10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0 Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1 Herbania
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1 Telde
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
31 Mar
Herbania
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Paso
(Away) 27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2 Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2 Atletico Paso
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
