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Stadium Background

Herbania vs Telde

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Ougri S.
78' Event
Morales A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Herbania
35%
Draws
19%
Telde
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Herbania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Herbania have won more games recently than Telde.
  • Herbania are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Herbania Clean Sheet 16%
Telde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herbania Telde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Herbania vs Telde
1:1
Nov 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Telde vs Herbania
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herbania Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Telde Compare

Top Goalscorer Ougri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herbania 36 / 100
Telde 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herbania Telde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Telde has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Herbania scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Herbania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herbania VS Telde
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herbania

(Home)
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Herbania
1 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
18 Apr
Tamaraceite
4 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

Telde

(Away)
08 May
Telde
0 : 3
Villa Santa Brigida
03 May
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1
Telde
26 Apr
Telde
1 : 3
San Miguel
22 Apr
Herbania
1 : 1
Telde
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)