Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hercilio Luz U20 vs Dom Bosco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hercilio Luz U20 play Dom Bosco U20 in the Copinha 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hercilio Luz U20 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Dom Bosco U20 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 0.95 conceded. In past meetings, Hercilio Luz U20 won 0, Dom Bosco U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 9, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Hercilio Luz U20 and 1.38 for Dom Bosco U20. This points to a Dom Bosco U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Hercilio Luz U20
21%
Draws
44%
Dom Bosco U20
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Dom Bosco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercilio Luz U20 picked up more points recently compared to Dom Bosco U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Hercilio Luz U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Dom Bosco U20 Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercilio Luz U20 Dom Bosco U20
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 15 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2025 Copinha
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Dom Bosco U20
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercilio Luz U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dom Bosco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matheusinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz U20 35 / 100
Dom Bosco U20 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercilio Luz U20 Dom Bosco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dom Bosco U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hercilio Luz U20 attacking → ← attacking Dom Bosco U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hercilio Luz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Dom Bosco U20 let in goals in 47% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Hercilio Luz U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Dom Bosco U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 31
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo RJ U2033004:19
2Votuporanguense U2032015:36
3Floresta EC U2031024:33
4Fast Clube U2030033:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ponte Preta U2032107:17
2IAPE U2031203:15
3Cuiaba U2031113:24
4Santa Fe SP U2030031:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Operario PR U20330015:19
2Santa Cruz U2031116:24
3Tanabi U2031113:84
4CE Forca E Luz U2030032:150
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Criciuma U2033006:19
2Mirassol U2032015:56
3Capitao Poco U2031024:53
4Rio Branco ES U2030033:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guarani U2032017:26
2Atletico-MG U2032015:26
3Nova Iguacu U2031112:24
4Francana U2030121:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo SP U20321010:37
2Bandeirante U2032014:56
3Azuriz U2031116:64
4Tuna Luso U2030032:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria U20321010:17
2Santos U2032019:36
3Tirol U2031112:14
4Jacioba U2030031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Sao Jose (PA) U2032014:26
2Vitoria U2031203:15
3Comercial U2031111:24
4Retro U2030121:41
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Agua Santa U2032018:56
2CRB U2032015:46
3Brasiliense U2031025:53
4Tupa U2031022:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fluminense U2033009:19
2Linense U2032016:46
3Internacional de Limeira U2031024:43
4Coimbra Sports U2030033:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo U20330011:19
2XV de Jau U2032015:26
3Serra Branca U2031022:43
4Picos U2030031:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Juventude U2032014:26
2America RN U2031116:54
3Operario AC U2031113:44
4Comercial FC - Tiete U2031024:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U2032105:17
2Real Brasilia U2031205:35
3Sao Carlos U2031113:44
4Imperatriz U2030032:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa U2032107:17
2America RJ U2032014:46
3Atletico GO U2031114:14
4Itapirense U2030031:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportivo U2031207:45
2Coritiba U2031204:35
3Dom Bosco U2031114:34
4Hercilio Luz U2030123:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capivariano U2032105:17
2Bahia U2032013:36
3Sergipe U2031114:34
4Madureira U2030030:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Osasco Audax U2033006:09
2Athletico-PR U2032014:36
3Mazagao U2031022:63
4Ferroviario U2030032:50
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Novorizontino U2032108:07
2Votoraty SP U2032104:07
3ABC U2031023:73
4Genus U2030030:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras U20321015:17
2Osasco Sporting U2031208:25
3Santa Cruz AC U2030212:72
4Nautico FC U2030121:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Recife U2032106:07
2Referencia U2032103:17
3FC Cascavel U2030122:41
4Boavista U2030123:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Gremio U2032106:17
2Vitoria da Conquista U2031112:54
3Porto Vitoria U2031023:33
4AC Guaratingueta U2030211:32
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Goias U2033006:39
2Marcilio Dias U2031116:64
3Taubate U2031024:53
4Inter de Minas U2030121:31
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zumbi U2032105:27
2Flamengo RJ U2032019:36
3Cruzeiro-PB U2030211:62
4EC Sao Bernardo U2030121:51
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bragantino U20330011:39
2Uniao Suzano U2032014:36
3Avai U2031025:63
4Uniao Carmolandense U2030030:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ituano U2032105:37
2Fortaleza U2031115:34
3Sao Bento U2031116:54
4Carajas U2030123:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America MG U2033006:09
2Sfera U2032013:26
3Piaui U2031023:33
4Estrela De Marco U2030031:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Santo Andre U2033006:19
2Corinthians U2032016:26
3Porto Velho U2031024:73
4Rio Branco AC U2030033:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Falcon U2031203:15
2Vila Nova FC U2031203:15
3Aster Itaqua U2031114:34
4Dourados U2030121:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo SP U2032103:07
2Barra FC U2031113:34
3America de Pedrinhas U2031113:44
4Internacional U2030120:21
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ibrachina U20321011:37
2Nautico U2032106:37
3Araguacema U2031025:103
4Monte Roraima U2030032:80
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CA Juventus U2032107:17
2Ceara U2032106:27
3Trindade U2030121:51
4Portuguesa Santista U2030122:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Piracicaba U2032104:27
2Vasco U2030302:23
3Nacional SP U2030212:32
4Canaa U2030212:32