Sport Picks
Hercilio Luz U20 vs Marcilio Dias U20
Brazil
Catarinense U20 2024 
AI Match Summary
Hercilio Luz U20 play Marcilio Dias U20 in the Catarinense U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hercilio Luz U20 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Marcilio Dias U20 averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Hercilio Luz U20 won 1, Marcilio Dias U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 20, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Hercilio Luz U20 and 0.99 for Marcilio Dias U20. This points to a Hercilio Luz U20 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hercilio Luz U20 picked up more points recently compared to Marcilio Dias U20.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 0.99 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz U20 | Marcilio Dias U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.65 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hercilio Luz U20 Compare
Marcilio Dias U20 Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hercilio Luz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Marcilio Dias U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Hercilio Luz U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Marcilio Dias U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barra FC U20 | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 59:12 | 48 |
| 2 | Criciuma U20 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 46:17 | 46 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias U20 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 45:18 | 43 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz U20 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 43:27 | 38 |
| 5 | Avai U20 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 37:20 | 33 |
| 6 | Figueirense U20 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | 23 |
| 7 | Joinville U20 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Brusque U20 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 26:37 | 22 |
| 9 | Chapecoense-SC U20 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | 19 |
| 10 | Nacao U20 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:41 | 14 |
| 11 | Inter de Lages U20 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8:93 | 0 |