Sport Picks
Hercilio Luz vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Hercilio Luz have conceded 1.04 and scored 1.82. Past meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina) slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.19) point toward Hercilio Luz. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Hercilio Luz's way, sitting at 60%.
- Hercilio Luz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Barra FC (Santa Catarina), who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hercilio Luz | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.82 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hercilio Luz's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Hercilio Luz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hercilio Luz
(Home)Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
