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Stadium Background

Hercilio Luz vs Guarani de Palhoca

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Samuel Andrade
33' Event
Rodrigues A.
64' Event
Hugo Costa

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Hercilio Luz and Guarani de Palhoca finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hercilio Luz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hercilio Luz
11%
Draws
9%
Guarani de Palhoca
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hercilio Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hercilio Luz come out ahead of Guarani de Palhoca on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Hercilio Luz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Hercilio Luz Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Palhoca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercilio Luz Guarani de Palhoca
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense 2
Guarani de Palhoca vs Hercilio Luz
1:2
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Guarani de Palhoca
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercilio Luz Compare

Top Goalscorer Samuel Andrade
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Guarani de Palhoca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercilio Luz 86 / 100
Guarani de Palhoca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercilio Luz Guarani de Palhoca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Hercilio Luz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Hercilio Luz scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Guarani de Palhoca let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hercilio Luz VS Guarani de Palhoca
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631