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Hercules vs Gimnastic de Tarragona Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Sol F.
34'
Retuerta A.
39'
Ropero U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hercules
20%
Draws
33%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercules have won more games recently than Gimnastic de Tarragona.
  • Hercules are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Hercules
2:2
May 10, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs Hercules
0:2
Feb 8, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Hercules vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Sol F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdallah K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 50 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Gimnastic de Tarragona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gimnastic de Tarragona conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hercules remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Hercules scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Gimnastic de Tarragona

(Away)
26 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
1 : 2
Sant Andreu
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
11 Sept
Gimnastic de Tarragona
4 : 2
Algeciras
05 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD
0 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Aug
Gimnastic de Tarragona
2 : 0
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)