Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hercules vs Marbella

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio José Rico Pérez, Alicante
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Escassi A.
32' Event
Escudero A.
41' Event
Toril A.

AI Match Summary

Hercules in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hercules
15%
Draws
37%
Marbella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Hercules have won more games recently than Marbella.
  • Hercules are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Hercules have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hercules Clean Sheet 68%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hercules Marbella
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Marbella
2:0
Dec 20, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Hercules
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Hercules
1:2
Nov 20, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Marbella
2:1
Feb 18, 1996 LaLiga2
Marbella vs Hercules
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Escudero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toril A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hercules 50 / 100
Marbella 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hercules Marbella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Hercules's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Hercules has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hercules VS Marbella
0.63 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 2.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Hercules

(Home)
26 Sept
Aguilas FC
0 : 1
Hercules
20 Sept
Hercules
1 : 0
Torremolinos
12 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 2
Hercules
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
29 Aug
Hercules
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 6

Marbella

(Away)
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)