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Herd vs Orkla

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Saether M.
39' Event
Marthinussen M.
75' Event
Saether M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Herd
30%
Draws
39%
Orkla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orkla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Orkla at 1.8 per game, Herd at 1.7.
  • Win probability leans Herd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herd Orkla
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Herd vs Orkla
2:2
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Herd
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Saether M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Marthinussen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simonsen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herd 83 / 100
Orkla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herd Orkla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Orkla conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Herd's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Herd remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herd VS Orkla
2.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Herd

(Home)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
15 Aug
Herd
9 : 0
Ranheim 2
10 Aug
Aalesund 2
3 : 0
Herd
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Orkla

(Away)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
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