Sport Picks
Herediano vs Alajuelense
Costa Rica
Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Herediano and Alajuelense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herediano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Herediano carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Alajuelense taking it.
- Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Herediano | Alajuelense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Herediano Compare
Alajuelense Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Herediano found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Alajuelense conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Herediano
(Home)Alajuelense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Herediano | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 26:10 | 38 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Liberia | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 24:18 | 33 |
| 4 | Cartagines | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 26:20 | 32 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:20 | 26 |
| 6 | Sporting FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 7 | San Carlos | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 8 | Puntarenas FC | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 22:29 | 16 |
| 9 | Zeledon | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 10 | Guadalupe | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13:37 | 14 |
