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Herediano vs Antigua Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Araya D.
45'
Murillo A.
46'
Sub
Galvez J. In: Camargo E.
Out: Galvez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Herediano
15%
Draws
51%
Antigua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Antigua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Antigua come out ahead of Herediano on wins alone.
  • Model gives Herediano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Antigua arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Herediano, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Herediano Clean Sheet 13%
Antigua Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Antigua
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Herediano vs Antigua
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Araya R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hudson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Antigua Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 35 / 100
Antigua 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Antigua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herediano scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Antigua conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Herediano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Antigua
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

Antigua

(Away)
27 Sept
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Antigua
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
15 Sept
Antigua
3 : 2
Suchitepequez
11 Sept
Malacateco
0 : 2
Antigua
05 Sept
Antigua
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)