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Herediano vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Aguilar E.
18'
Aguilar J.
34'
Cordoba R.

AI Match Summary

Herediano in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herediano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Herediano
17%
Draws
13%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Herediano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Herediano have won more games recently than San Carlos.
  • Win probability leans Herediano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Herediano Clean Sheet 68%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano San Carlos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
1:0
Feb 23, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs San Carlos
3:1
Aug 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Herediano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Carlos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 77 / 100
San Carlos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herediano scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: San Carlos conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Herediano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS San Carlos
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.71
25% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
24 Jul
Herediano
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
12 Jul
Alajuelense
0 : 1
Herediano
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

San Carlos

(Away)
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)