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Herediano vs Sporting FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Carlos Alvarado, Heredia
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Montes G.
53' Event
Pinto J.
58'
Sub
Rodriguez S. In: Fuller K.
Out: Rodriguez S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Herediano and Sporting FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Herediano
15%
Draws
57%
Sporting FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Herediano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Herediano Clean Sheet 14%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herediano Sporting FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Sporting FC
0:3
Apr 26, 2026 Primera Division
Herediano vs Sporting FC
0:0
Jan 15, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Herediano
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Herediano
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Primera Division
Herediano vs Sporting FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herediano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herediano 15 / 100
Sporting FC 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herediano Sporting FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Herediano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Herediano has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Herediano VS Sporting FC
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Herediano

(Home)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
13 Sept
Escorpiones
0 : 2
Herediano
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
27 Aug
Herediano
2 : 1
Antigua
Page 1 of 6

Sporting FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Sporting FC
3 : 1
Cartagines
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Sporting FC 10 6 2 2 19:9 20
3 Cartagines 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Inter San Carlos 10 4 3 3 10:13 15
6 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)