Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Ward G.
90'
90'
Uchegbulam J.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Hereford and Buxton finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Buxton come out ahead of Hereford on wins alone.
- Buxton are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hereford Clean Sheet 13%
Buxton Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hereford | Buxton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Buxton
0:2
Aug 19, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Hereford
1:2
Feb 25, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Buxton
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Hereford
1:2
Apr 1, 2024 National League North
Hereford vs Buxton
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hereford Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Buxton Compare
Top Goalscorer Ward G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Uchegbulam J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hereford 14 / 100
Buxton 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hereford Buxton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BUX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hereford's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Hereford remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Buxton conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Hereford VS Buxton
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hereford
(Home) 01 Aug
Bromsgrove
0 : 1 Hereford
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Hereford
0 : 3 Solihull Moors
17 Jul
Bishops Cleeve
2 : 0 Hereford
11 Jul
Hereford Pegasus
1 : 1 Hereford
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Hereford
1 : 1 Shrewsbury
25 Jul
Hereford
0 : 3 Solihull Moors
25 Apr
Hereford
2 : 2 Peterborough Sports
21 Apr
Hereford
2 : 1 Marine
18 Apr
Hereford
3 : 1 Radcliffe
Page 1 of 4
Buxton
(Away) 01 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 2 Buxton
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
10 Jul
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
07 Jul
Buxton
1 : 3 Braga
02 May
South Shields
1 : 0 Buxton
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 2 Buxton
02 May
South Shields
1 : 0 Buxton
18 Apr
Curzon Ashton
0 : 4 Buxton
14 Apr
Alfreton
2 : 2 Buxton
06 Apr
Worksop
1 : 2 Buxton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
