Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Phillips B.
40'
40'
Waters B.
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Hereford and Chester finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hereford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hereford are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Hereford Clean Sheet 68%
Chester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hereford | Chester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Chester
1:1
Feb 24, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Chester
5:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League North
Chester vs Hereford
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 National League North
Hereford vs Chester
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 National League North
Chester vs Hereford
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hereford Compare
Top Goalscorer Phillips B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Chester Compare
Top Goalscorer Waters B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hereford 86 / 100
Chester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hereford Chester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hereford scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Chester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Hereford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hereford VS Chester
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hereford
(Home) 26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1 Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2 Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3 Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0 South Shields
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1 Spennymoor
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1 Chester
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0 Radcliffe
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0 Marine
Page 1 of 4
Chester
(Away) 26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1 Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2 Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1 Chester
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1 Chester
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1 Chester
18 Aug
Darlington FC
0 : 1 Chester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 21 | Brackley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
