Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hereford vs Marine

England England

National League North Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Iwunze H.

AI Match Summary

Hereford in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hereford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Hereford
15%
Draws
27%
Marine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereford lately — more wins on the board than Marine.
  • Model gives Hereford a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hereford here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Marine Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Marine
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.55 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Marine
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Marine
2:1
Apr 8, 2026 National League North
Marine vs Hereford
0:1
Mar 1, 2025 National League North
Marine vs Hereford
2:2
Nov 9, 2024 National League North
Hereford vs Marine
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwunze H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Marine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 40 / 100
Marine 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Marine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Hereford went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS Marine
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1
Hereford
29 Aug
Hereford
1 : 1
Chester
22 Aug
Worksop
0 : 3
Hereford
18 Aug
Hereford
3 : 0
Radcliffe
Page 1 of 7

Marine

(Away)
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1
Worksop
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1
Marine
29 Aug
Marine
2 : 0
Radcliffe
22 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 4
Marine
18 Aug
Marine
0 : 2
Chorley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford City 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Hereford 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
3 Macclesfield 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
4 Chester 7 4 2 1 8:4 14
5 South Shields 6 4 2 0 7:3 14
6 Hebburn Town 7 4 2 1 12:9 14
7 Bedford 7 4 0 3 10:10 12
8 Spalding United 7 3 2 2 8:4 11
9 Harborough 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
10 Morecambe 7 3 1 3 9:6 10
11 King’s Lynn 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
12 Buxton 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
13 Scarborough Athletic 7 3 0 4 14:11 9
14 Merthyr Town 7 2 3 2 10:9 9
15 Worksop 7 3 0 4 6:10 9
16 Brackley 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
17 Chorley 7 2 2 3 9:12 8
18 Marine 7 2 0 5 7:8 6
19 Hednesford 7 1 3 3 9:12 6
20 Darlington FC 7 2 0 5 8:13 6
21 Telford 7 1 2 4 7:10 5
22 Southport 7 1 2 4 9:15 5
23 Spennymoor 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
24 Radcliffe 7 1 0 6 3:12 3
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)