Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hereford vs Shrewsbury

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Phillips B.
66' Event
Lloyd G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Hereford
30%
Draws
23%
Shrewsbury
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hereford lately — more wins on the board than Shrewsbury.
  • Hereford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
Shrewsbury Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford Shrewsbury
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.53 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Hereford vs Shrewsbury
1:1
Jul 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Hereford vs Shrewsbury
1:2
Nov 3, 2012 FA Cup
Hereford vs Shrewsbury
3:1
Jan 28, 2012 League Two
Hereford vs Shrewsbury
0:2
Sep 10, 2011 League Two
Shrewsbury vs Hereford
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Shrewsbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 85 / 100
Shrewsbury 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford Shrewsbury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Shrewsbury's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Hereford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS Shrewsbury
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
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Shrewsbury

(Away)
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Crewe
1 : 1
Shrewsbury
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0
Shrewsbury
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