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Hereford vs South Shields

England England

National League North Edgar Street, Hereford
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Phillips B.
21' Event
Bitemo P.
43' Event
Phillips B.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Hereford and South Shields finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Hereford
15%
Draws
39%
South Shields
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hereford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Hereford haven't matched South Shields's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Hereford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hereford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Hereford Clean Sheet 20%
South Shields Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hereford South Shields
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs South Shields
6:0
Mar 14, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs South Shields
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Hereford
2:1
Feb 4, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Hereford
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 National League North
Hereford vs South Shields
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bitemo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

South Shields Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hereford 85 / 100
South Shields 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hereford South Shields

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hereford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hereford found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Hereford went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

South Shields's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hereford VS South Shields
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hereford

(Home)
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
Harborough
0 : 3
Hereford
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1
Hereford
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South Shields

(Away)
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0
Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1
Marine
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)