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Herlev vs Karlslunde

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Lip J.
76' Event
Gonzalez M.
79' Event
Bidstrup Knudsen F.

AI Match Summary

Karlslunde in this 3rd Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlslunde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Herlev
15%
Draws
37%
Karlslunde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herlev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Karlslunde lately — more wins on the board than Herlev.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Herlev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlslunde here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Herlev Clean Sheet 19%
Karlslunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herlev Karlslunde
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.97 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 3rd Division
Karlslunde vs Herlev
10:0
May 14, 2022 3rd Division
Herlev vs Karlslunde
1:4
Mar 19, 2022 3rd Division
Herlev vs Karlslunde
1:2
Sep 4, 2021 3rd Division
Karlslunde vs Herlev
3:0
Aug 6, 2019 Betano Pokalen
Herlev vs Karlslunde
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herlev Compare

Top Goalscorer Amisse E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Karlslunde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lip J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herlev 40 / 100
Karlslunde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herlev Karlslunde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herlev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlslunde has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Solid form: Herlev remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Herlev scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Herlev VS Karlslunde
1.57 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herlev

(Home)
19 Jan
Vanlose
0 : 4
Herlev
01 Aug
Herlev
0 : 2
Gladsaxe
03 Sept
Herlev
1 : 4
Ishoj IF
06 Aug
Vigerslev
0 : 1
Herlev
09 Mar
Herlev
2 : 1
Bronshoj
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Karlslunde

(Away)
05 Aug
Karlslunde
0 : 1
Boldklubben 1893
20 Jul
Avarta
3 : 4
Karlslunde
03 Feb
Greve IF
3 : 0
Karlslunde
27 Jan
Karlslunde
1 : 1
Bronshoj
29 Jul
Bronshoj
1 : 2
Karlslunde
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