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Herlev vs Slagelse

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ahlgren M.
73' Event
Krogh K.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2021/2022 game between Herlev and Slagelse finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Herlev
15%
Draws
0%
Slagelse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herlev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Slagelse come out ahead of Herlev on wins alone.
  • Model gives Herlev a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Slagelse have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Herlev Clean Sheet 10%
Slagelse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herlev Slagelse
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2022 3rd Division
Herlev vs Slagelse
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Herlev
3:0
Nov 13, 2021 3rd Division
Slagelse vs Herlev
4:0
Aug 28, 2021 3rd Division
Herlev vs Slagelse
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herlev Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Slagelse Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahlgren M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herlev 83 / 100
Slagelse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herlev Slagelse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Herlev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Slagelse lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Slagelse let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Herlev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herlev VS Slagelse
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Herlev

(Home)
19 Jan
Vanlose
0 : 4
Herlev
01 Aug
Herlev
0 : 2
Gladsaxe
03 Sept
Herlev
1 : 4
Ishoj IF
06 Aug
Vigerslev
0 : 1
Herlev
09 Mar
Herlev
2 : 1
Bronshoj
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Slagelse

(Away)
05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4
Sundby
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0
Slagelse
02 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 5
Sonderjyske
23 Jul
Slagelse
0 : 3
Ishoj IF
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0
Slagelse
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