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Hernan Cortes vs CD Azuaga

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 game between Hernan Cortes and CD Azuaga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hernan Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Hernan Cortes
15%
Draws
53%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Hernan Cortes haven't matched CD Azuaga's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on CD Azuaga taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 17%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hernan Cortes CD Azuaga
Matches Played 35 47
Wins 8 29
Draws 8 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.98
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs CD Azuaga
2:0
Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Hernan Cortes
3:1
Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs CD Azuaga
1:0
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs Hernan Cortes
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hernan Cortes CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hernan Cortes's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

CD Azuaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 47 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Hernan Cortes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Azuaga
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hernan Cortes

(Home)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
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CD Azuaga

(Away)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villanovense 40 31 7 2 77:17 100
2 Merida UD 40 28 10 2 88:27 94
3 Jerez CF 40 29 7 4 77:21 94
4 UD Badajoz 40 29 7 4 84:17 94
5 CD Coria 40 26 9 5 81:35 87
6 Extremadura UD 40 22 8 10 78:36 74
7 Don Benito 39 15 11 13 50:35 56
8 Diter Zafra 40 14 11 15 68:60 53
9 Pueblonuevo 40 15 8 17 66:54 53
10 CD Azuaga 40 14 10 16 68:78 52
11 UP Plasencia 40 16 4 20 66:63 52
12 Atletico San Jose Promesas 40 14 10 16 48:49 52
13 Olivenza FC 40 11 13 16 38:49 46
14 Hernan Cortes 40 12 10 18 28:49 46
15 Santa Amalia 40 13 6 21 43:69 45
16 Castuera 39 11 12 16 51:66 45
17 Fuente de Cantos 40 10 11 19 48:61 41
18 Cacereno II 40 7 10 23 32:81 31
19 Miajadas 40 7 3 30 42:110 24
20 RCP Valverdeno 40 4 8 28 48:103 20
21 Ciduad de Plasencia 40 2 3 35 27:128 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)