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Stadium Background

Hernan Cortes vs RCP Valverdeno

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hernan Cortes in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hernan Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hernan Cortes
15%
Draws
42%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hernan Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RCP Valverdeno lately — more wins on the board than Hernan Cortes.
  • Model gives RCP Valverdeno a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Hernan Cortes have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hernan Cortes Clean Sheet 20%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hernan Cortes RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs RCP Valverdeno
2:1
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Hernan Cortes
1:2
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs Hernan Cortes
4:2
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Hernan Cortes vs RCP Valverdeno
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hernan Cortes 10 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hernan Cortes RCP Valverdeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCP Valverdeno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RCP Valverdeno let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Hernan Cortes scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: RCP Valverdeno registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hernan Cortes VS RCP Valverdeno
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hernan Cortes

(Home)
20 Aug
Hernan Cortes
2 : 0
Cabeza del Buey
01 Nov
Hernan Cortes
1 : 12
Betis
12 Oct
Hernan Cortes
3 : 1
Sauzal
17 May
UP Plasencia
7 : 2
Hernan Cortes
10 May
Hernan Cortes
1 : 3
AD Merida
Page 1 of 6

RCP Valverdeno

(Away)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villanovense 40 31 7 2 77:17 100
2 Merida UD 40 28 10 2 88:27 94
3 Jerez CF 40 29 7 4 77:21 94
4 UD Badajoz 40 29 7 4 84:17 94
5 CD Coria 40 26 9 5 81:35 87
6 Extremadura UD 40 22 8 10 78:36 74
7 Don Benito 39 15 11 13 50:35 56
8 Diter Zafra 40 14 11 15 68:60 53
9 Pueblonuevo 40 15 8 17 66:54 53
10 CD Azuaga 40 14 10 16 68:78 52
11 UP Plasencia 40 16 4 20 66:63 52
12 Atletico San Jose Promesas 40 14 10 16 48:49 52
13 Olivenza FC 40 11 13 16 38:49 46
14 Hernan Cortes 40 12 10 18 28:49 46
15 Santa Amalia 40 13 6 21 43:69 45
16 Castuera 39 11 12 16 51:66 45
17 Fuente de Cantos 40 10 11 19 48:61 41
18 Cacereno II 40 7 10 23 32:81 31
19 Miajadas 40 7 3 30 42:110 24
20 RCP Valverdeno 40 4 8 28 48:103 20
21 Ciduad de Plasencia 40 2 3 35 27:128 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)