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Herne Bay vs Chatham

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Anokye-Boadi K.
44' Event
Haysman K.
56' Event
Sears F.

AI Match Summary

Chatham in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Herne Bay
15%
Draws
48%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham have won more games recently than Herne Bay.
  • Model gives Chatham a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chatham have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Herne Bay Clean Sheet 14%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Herne Bay Chatham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.97
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Chatham vs Herne Bay
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Herne Bay vs Chatham
2:3
Sep 15, 2012 FA Trophy
Herne Bay vs Chatham
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Herne Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Haysman K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salako M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Anokye-Boadi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sears F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Herne Bay 23 / 100
Chatham 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Herne Bay Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Herne Bay scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Chatham has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Herne Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Herne Bay VS Chatham
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Herne Bay

(Home)
29 Aug
Herne Bay
4 : 3
Kingstonian
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
06 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 3
Ashford United
29 Jul
Herne Bay
0 : 1
Welling
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Chatham

(Away)
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
31 Aug
Dartford
1 : 0
Chatham
29 Aug
Chatham
2 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 3
Chatham
15 Aug
Chatham
3 : 1
Three Bridges
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